The Normal Distribution: Question 2

Syllabus 5.5

Structured AS 7 marks

A phone manufacturer models the battery life, TT hours, of a fully charged phone under normal use by TN(11.5,1.22)T\sim N(11.5, 1.2^2).

(a) Find P(T>13)P(T>13). [3]

(b) Find P(10<T<12.7)P(10<T<12.7). [4]

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Worked solution

Setting up

TN(11.5,1.22)T\sim N(11.5,1.2^2), so μ=11.5\mu=11.5 and σ=1.2\sigma=1.2. Every probability is found via Z=TμσZ=\dfrac{T-\mu}{\sigma}.

Part (a): P(T > 13)

z=1311.51.2=1.51.2=1.25z=\frac{13-11.5}{1.2}=\frac{1.5}{1.2}=1.25

P(T>13)=P(Z>1.25)=1Φ(1.25)P(T>13)=P(Z>1.25)=1-\Phi(1.25)

From the table, Φ(1.25)=0.8944\Phi(1.25)=0.8944, so P(T>13)=10.8944=0.1056P(T>13)=1-0.8944=0.1056

Part (b): P(10 < T < 12.7)

Standardise both boundaries.

Lower boundary: z1=1011.51.2=1.51.2=1.25z_1=\frac{10-11.5}{1.2}=\frac{-1.5}{1.2}=-1.25

Upper boundary: z2=12.711.51.2=1.21.2=1z_2=\frac{12.7-11.5}{1.2}=\frac{1.2}{1.2}=1

P(10<T<12.7)=P(1.25<Z<1)=Φ(1)Φ(1.25)P(10<T<12.7)=P(-1.25<Z<1)=\Phi(1)-\Phi(-1.25)

Using symmetry, Φ(1.25)=1Φ(1.25)=10.8944=0.1056\Phi(-1.25)=1-\Phi(1.25)=1-0.8944=0.1056, and Φ(1)=0.8413\Phi(1)=0.8413 from the table.

P(10<T<12.7)=0.84130.1056=0.7357P(10<T<12.7)=0.8413-0.1056=0.7357

Check: the interval has width 12.710=2.712.7-10=2.7 hours =2.25σ=2.25\sigma, split unevenly around the mean (11 hour below the mean, 1.21.2 hours above it), so leaving out roughly a quarter of the total probability across both tails combined is a sensible order of magnitude.

Final answers

  • (a) P(T>13)=0.1056P(T>13)=\boxed{0.1056}
  • (b) P(10<T<12.7)=0.7357P(10<T<12.7)=\boxed{0.7357}