The Normal Distribution: Question 4

Syllabus 5.5

Structured AS 7 marks

A drinks-bottling machine fills cans with cola so that the volume, VV ml, in a randomly chosen can is modelled by VN(μ,σ2)V\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2). Quality-control records show that 5%5\% of cans contain more than 350350 ml, and 2.5%2.5\% of cans contain less than 306306 ml.

(a) Show that 350μ=1.6449σ350-\mu=1.6449\sigma, and write down a similar equation connecting μ\mu, σ\sigma and the boundary 306306 ml. [2]

(b) Solve these two equations to find μ\mu and σ\sigma, giving each answer to 3 significant figures. [5]

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Worked solution

Setting up two equations

VN(μ,σ2)V\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2). Standardise using Z=VμσZ=\dfrac{V-\mu}{\sigma}.

Upper boundary: 350 ml

5%5\% of cans contain more than 350350 ml, so P(V>350)=0.05P(V>350)=0.05, i.e. P(Z>z1)=0.05P(Z>z_1)=0.05, so Φ(z1)=0.95\Phi(z_1)=0.95.

From the standard normal (percentage points) table, z1=1.6449z_1=1.6449. Since 350350 lies above the mean μ\mu: 350μσ=1.6449    350μ=1.6449σ...(1)\frac{350-\mu}{\sigma}=1.6449 \implies 350-\mu=1.6449\sigma \qquad \text{...(1)}

Lower boundary: 306 ml

2.5%2.5\% of cans contain less than 306306 ml, so P(V<306)=0.025P(V<306)=0.025. By symmetry, the corresponding upper-tail probability is also 0.0250.025, with Φ(1.9600)=0.975\Phi(1.9600)=0.975, so z2=1.9600z_2=1.9600. Because 306306 lies below the mean, the standardised value is negative: 306μσ=1.9600    μ306=1.9600σ...(2)\frac{306-\mu}{\sigma}=-1.9600 \implies \mu-306=1.9600\sigma \qquad \text{...(2)}

Part (b): Solving for μ and σ

From (1): μ=3501.6449σ\mu=350-1.6449\sigma From (2): μ=306+1.9600σ\mu=306+1.9600\sigma

Setting these equal: 3501.6449σ=306+1.9600σ350-1.6449\sigma=306+1.9600\sigma 350306=1.9600σ+1.6449σ350-306=1.9600\sigma+1.6449\sigma 44=3.6049σ44=3.6049\sigma σ=443.6049=12.2056\sigma=\frac{44}{3.6049}=12.2056\ldots

So σ=12.2\sigma=12.2 ml (3 s.f.).

Substituting back into (2): μ=306+1.9600×12.2056=306+23.923=329.923\mu=306+1.9600\times12.2056=306+23.923=329.923

So μ=330\mu=330 ml (3 s.f.).

Check using equation (1): μ=3501.6449×12.2056=35020.077=329.923\mu=350-1.6449\times12.2056=350-20.077=329.923, which agrees with the value found from equation (2). ✓

Final answers

  • (a) 350μ=1.6449σ350-\mu=\boxed{1.6449\sigma} and μ306=1.9600σ\mu-306=\boxed{1.9600\sigma}
  • (b) μ=330\mu=\boxed{330} ml (3 s.f.), σ=12.2\sigma=\boxed{12.2} ml (3 s.f.)