Discrete Random Variables: Question 1

Syllabus 5.4

Multiple choice AS 1 mark

A fair spinner is divided into four sectors labelled 11, 22, 33 and 44. The random variable XX denotes the score obtained on one spin, and has the probability distribution shown in the table below, where kk is a constant.

xx 1 2 3 4
P(X=x)P(X=x) 0.10.1 0.30.3 kk 0.20.2

What is the value of kk?

Choose an answer to check it, then compare with the worked solution below.

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Worked solution

Step 1: Recall that all probabilities must sum to 1

For any discrete random variable, the probabilities in the distribution table must satisfy P(X=x)=1\sum P(X=x) = 1

So here, P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4)=1P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)+P(X=4) = 1 0.1+0.3+k+0.2=10.1 + 0.3 + k + 0.2 = 1

Step 2: Solve for k

Add the three known probabilities first: 0.1+0.3+0.2=0.60.1+0.3+0.2 = 0.6

So the equation becomes 0.6+k=10.6+k=1 k=10.6=0.4k = 1-0.6 = 0.4

Check: substituting back, 0.1+0.3+0.4+0.2=1.000.1+0.3+0.4+0.2=1.00 ✓, and every probability lies between 00 and 11, so this is a valid distribution.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A (0.60.6): this is the sum 0.1+0.3+0.20.1+0.3+0.2 itself. The value of kk still needs to be found by subtracting this sum from 11, not by stopping at the sum.
  • B (0.30.3): this simply repeats P(X=2)P(X=2); there is no reason kk should equal another probability already in the table.
  • D (0.50.5): this could come from an arithmetic slip, e.g. computing 10.10.30.21-0.1-0.3-0.2 incorrectly as 0.50.5 instead of 0.40.4.

Final answer

  • k=0.4k = \boxed{0.4}, option C.