Discrete Random Variables: Mathematics 9709 (Cambridge International AS & A Level)

Syllabus 5.4 · Strand 5 Probability & Statistics 1

Questions
10
Total marks
50
Tier mix
10 Core

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  • 5.4 10 questions

A discrete random variable XX (syllabus ref 5.4) takes a countable set of numerical values, each with its own probability, and a probability distribution table simply lists every possible value of XX alongside P(X=x)P(X=x), with the probabilities summing to 1. From that table, the mean E(X)=xP(X=x)E(X)=\sum xP(X=x) and variance Var(X)=x2P(X=x)[E(X)]2\mathrm{Var}(X)=\sum x^2P(X=x)-\bigl[E(X)\bigr]^2 can always be calculated directly, whatever the shape of the distribution.

Two named distributions appear repeatedly because they model common real situations. The binomial distribution XB(n,p)X\sim B(n,p) counts the number of successes in nn independent trials, each with success probability pp, giving P(X=r)=(nr)pr(1p)nrP(X=r)=\dbinom{n}{r}p^r(1-p)^{n-r}, mean npnp and variance np(1p)np(1-p). The geometric distribution XGeo(p)X\sim\mathrm{Geo}(p) instead counts the number of trials up to and including the first success, giving P(X=r)=p(1p)r1P(X=r)=p(1-p)^{r-1} and mean 1p\dfrac{1}{p}, useful for “how many attempts until the first success” questions. Recognising which real-world set-up (fixed number of trials vs. waiting for a first success) matches which distribution is often the key exam skill.

Original worked problems on distribution tables, E(X)E(X), Var(X)\mathrm{Var}(X), and both named distributions follow below.

Question 1

Multiple choice AS 1 mark

A fair spinner is divided into four sectors labelled 11, 22, 33 and 44. The random variable XX denotes the score obtained on one spin, and has the probability distribution shown in the table below, where kk is a constant.

xx 1 2 3 4
P(X=x)P(X=x) 0.10.1 0.30.3 kk 0.20.2

What is the value of kk?

Question 2

Structured AS 7 marks

A small class is surveyed, and the random variable XX represents the number of pets owned by a randomly chosen student from the class. The probability distribution of XX is shown in the table below, where kk is a constant.

xx 0 1 2 3
P(X=x)P(X=x) 0.20.2 0.350.35 0.30.3 kk

(a) Find the value of kk. [2]

(b) Find E(X)E(X). [2]

(c) Find Var(X)\mathrm{Var}(X). [3]

Question 3

Structured AS 10 marks

A factory manufactures LED bulbs. From long-run production records, the probability that a randomly chosen bulb is defective is 0.080.08, and whether or not one bulb is defective has no effect on any other bulb. A quality inspector selects a random sample of 1010 bulbs from the production line, and XX denotes the number of defective bulbs found in the sample.

(a) State two conditions, in the context of this sample, that must hold for XX to be modelled by a binomial distribution. [2]

(b) Find P(X=2)P(X=2). [3]

(c) Find P(X2)P(X \geq 2). [4]

(d) Write down E(X)E(X). [1]

Question 4

Multiple choice AS 1 mark

A biased six-sided die is rolled 88 times. On each roll, the probability of obtaining a six is 0.30.3, independently of any other roll. Let XX be the number of sixes obtained in the 88 rolls, so that XB(8,0.3)X\sim B(8,0.3).

What is P(X=2)P(X=2), correct to 33 significant figures?

Question 5

Structured AS 5 marks

At a school fair, a tombola stall gives out a token to every player. Each token shows a number of points, and the random variable XX represents the number of points on a token drawn at random, with possible values 00, 11, 33 and 55. The probability distribution of XX is shown in the table below, where kk is a constant.

xx 0 1 3 5
P(X=x)P(X=x) 0.40.4 0.30.3 kk 0.10.1

(a) Find the value of kk. [2]

(b) Find E(X)E(X). [3]

Question 6

Multiple choice AS 1 mark

An archer shoots repeatedly at a target. On each shot, independently of any other shot, the probability that she hits the bullseye is 0.20.2. Let XX be the number of shots up to and including her first bullseye, so that XGeo(0.2)X\sim \mathrm{Geo}(0.2).

What is P(X=4)P(X=4), correct to 33 significant figures?

Question 7

Structured AS 8 marks

In a large batch of memory cards, the probability that a randomly chosen card is defective is 0.150.15, independently of any other card. A quality inspector selects cards one at a time, at random from the batch, and tests them until she finds the first defective card. Let XX be the number of cards tested up to and including the first defective card found, so that XGeo(0.15)X\sim \mathrm{Geo}(0.15).

(a) State two conditions, in the context of this situation, that must hold for XX to be modelled by the geometric distribution Geo(p)\mathrm{Geo}(p). [2]

(b) Find P(X=5)P(X=5). [2]

(c) Find P(X3)P(X \leq 3). [3]

(d) State E(X)E(X). [1]

Question 8

Structured AS 8 marks

A multiple-choice quiz has 1212 questions, each with 55 possible answers of which exactly one is correct. A student who has not revised guesses the answer to every question at random, independently of every other question. Let XX be the number of questions the student answers correctly.

(a) State the values of nn and pp, and explain why XX can be modelled by a binomial distribution in this context. [2]

(b) Find P(X=4)P(X=4). [3]

(c) Find E(X)E(X) and Var(X)\mathrm{Var}(X). [3]

Question 9

Multiple choice AS 1 mark

A biased coin is tossed 2020 times. On each toss, the probability of obtaining heads is 0.350.35, independently of any other toss. Let XX be the number of heads obtained in the 2020 tosses, so that XB(20,0.35)X\sim B(20,0.35).

What is Var(X)\mathrm{Var}(X)?

Question 10

Structured AS 8 marks

In a mock driving test, the random variable XX represents the number of minor faults recorded for a randomly chosen candidate, where XX can take the values 00, 11, 22 or 33. The probability distribution of XX is shown in the table below, where pp is a constant.

xx 0 1 2 3
P(X=x)P(X=x) 0.50.5 3p3p 2p2p 0.10.1

(a) Find the value of pp. [3]

(b) Find E(X)E(X). [2]

(c) Find Var(X)\mathrm{Var}(X). [3]