Probability: Question 9

Syllabus 5.3

Multiple choice AS 1 mark

Two fair six-sided dice, each numbered 11 to 66, are rolled together. Let AA be the event "the sum of the two scores is 99" and let BB be the event "the two dice show the same number (a double)".

What is P(A or B)P(A \text{ or } B)?

Choose an answer to check it, then compare with the worked solution below.

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Worked solution

Step 1: List the sample space

Rolling two dice gives 3636 equally likely outcomes.

Step 2: Find P(A), the sum is 9

The pairs (first, second) giving a sum of 99 are (3,6),(4,5),(5,4),(6,3)(3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3). That is 44 outcomes: P(A)=436=19P(A) = \frac{4}{36} = \frac{1}{9}

Step 3: Find P(B), a double

The doubles are (1,1),(2,2),(3,3),(4,4),(5,5),(6,6)(1,1), (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6). That is 66 outcomes: P(B)=636=16P(B) = \frac{6}{36} = \frac{1}{6}

Step 4: Check whether A and B are mutually exclusive

Every double (n,n)(n,n) has an even sum (2,4,6,8,10,122,4,6,8,10,12), but 99 is odd, so no double can also give a sum of 99. Hence AA and BB share no outcomes: P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0, and the events are mutually exclusive.

Step 5: Apply the addition rule

Since AA and BB are mutually exclusive, the probabilities simply add: P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B)=19+16=218+318=5180.278P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B) = \frac{1}{9} + \frac{1}{6} = \frac{2}{18} + \frac{3}{18} = \frac{5}{18} \approx 0.278

Check by listing directly

The outcomes satisfying AA or BB are the 44 sum-of-99 outcomes plus the 66 double outcomes, with none shared, giving 4+6=104+6=10 outcomes out of 3636: P(A or B)=1036=518P(A \text{ or } B) = \frac{10}{36} = \frac{5}{18} which agrees exactly with Step 5.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B (215\frac{2}{15}): this comes from incorrectly adding numerators and denominators separately, 1+19+6\frac{1+1}{9+6}, rather than using a common denominator.
  • C (19\frac{1}{9}): this is only P(A)P(A), ignoring event BB entirely.
  • D (16\frac{1}{6}): this is only P(B)P(B), ignoring event AA entirely.

Final answer

  • P(A or B)=518P(A \text{ or } B) = \boxed{\dfrac{5}{18}}, option A.