Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates: Economics 9708 (Cambridge International AS & A Level)
Syllabus 6.3, 6.4, 6.5 · Strand 6 International Economic Issues
- Questions
- 10
- Total marks
- 59
- Tier mix
- 10 Core
0 of 10 questions completed
Syllabus coverage
- 6.3 7 questions completed
- 6.4 5 questions completed
- 6.5 2 questions completed
The current account of the balance of payments records a country’s trading performance with the rest of the world: trade in goods, trade in services, and primary and secondary income flows. A current account balance (CAB) in deficit means more is flowing out than in (often driven by imports exceeding exports); a surplus means the reverse, and either can have significant consequences for domestic demand, employment and the exchange rate.
Under a floating exchange rate, the price of one currency in terms of another is set purely by the demand for and supply of that currency in the foreign exchange market, with no direct government intervention. A rise in the exchange rate is an appreciation and a fall is a depreciation, and both are driven by shifts in demand or supply. For example, from changes in relative interest rates, inflation or the demand for exports. Because a weaker currency makes exports cheaper and imports dearer, depreciation is one channel (alongside fiscal, monetary, supply-side and protectionist measures) governments can use to try to correct a current account deficit.
The worked examples below are original and fully explained.
Question 1
A country's economy has many cross-border transactions in a single year, including the sale of goods abroad, migrant workers sending money home to relatives, and multinational companies moving profits between countries.
Which of the following is recorded as secondary income in the current account of the balance of payments?
Question 2
Kelmora's national statistics agency has published the following current account data for last year (all figures in US$ million). A negative figure indicates a net outflow of income (more paid abroad than received); a positive figure indicates a net inflow.
| Component | US$ million |
|---|---|
| Exports of goods | 8,200 |
| Imports of goods | 9,650 |
| Exports of services | 3,100 |
| Imports of services | 2,400 |
| Net primary income | -450 |
| Net secondary income | +180 |
(a) Calculate the balance of trade in goods and the balance of trade in services. [2]
(b) Hence calculate the balance of trade in goods and services. [1]
(c) Using also the net primary income and net secondary income figures, calculate Kelmora's current account balance (CAB), and state whether Kelmora's current account is in deficit or surplus. [3]
(d) Explain one possible cause of a current account deficit such as Kelmora's. [2]
Question 3
Rivandia operates a freely floating exchange rate for its currency, the riven, against the US dollar. Rivandia's main export is a specialty coffee bean. After a successful international marketing campaign, global demand for Rivandia's coffee exports rises sharply.
(a) Explain, using demand and supply analysis, how this increase in foreign demand for Rivandia's coffee exports is likely to affect the exchange rate of the riven. [3]
(b) State whether the riven has appreciated or depreciated as a result of this change. [1]
(c) Before the change, the exchange rate was $1 = 5.00 rivens. After the change, it becomes $1 = 4.00 rivens. A separate Rivandian export, a batch of textiles, is priced at 200 rivens. Calculate the price of this textile export in US dollars (i) before and (ii) after the change in the exchange rate. [2]
(d) An imported machine component is priced at $10 in the United States. Calculate its price in rivens (i) before and (ii) after the change in the exchange rate. [2]
(e) Using your results from (c) and (d), explain the likely effect of this exchange-rate change on the price competitiveness of Rivandia's exports and imports. [2]
Question 4
Doverna operates a freely floating exchange rate. Over the past year, its currency, the dovar, has depreciated significantly against the currencies of its major trading partners. Doverna's current account has been in deficit for several years, and the government hopes that this depreciation will help to correct the deficit.
(a) Explain how a depreciation of the dovar is likely to affect the price of Doverna's exports (in foreign-currency terms) and the price of its imports (in dovars). [3]
(b) Using aggregate demand/aggregate supply (AD/AS) analysis, explain the likely short-run effect of this depreciation on Doverna's real output, price level and level of employment. [4]
(c) Discuss the extent to which this depreciation alone is likely to eliminate Doverna's current account deficit. [5]
Question 5
A country operates a freely floating exchange rate for its currency.
Which of the following changes is most likely to cause an appreciation of the country's currency?
Question 6
A country has been running a current account deficit for several consecutive years. To keep financing this gap, it has had to attract funds from abroad, for example by selling government bonds to foreign investors, and by drawing on its official reserves of foreign currency.
Which of the following is most likely to be a consequence of this persistent current account deficit?
Question 7
Meridia has run a current account deficit for the past three years. Last year, Meridia's current account balance was a deficit of $27 billion, while its nominal GDP was $450 billion.
(a) Calculate Meridia's current account deficit as a percentage of its GDP. [2]
(b) Many economists regard a current account deficit exceeding 5% of GDP as a warning sign that it may not be sustainable in the long run. State whether Meridia's deficit is above or below this threshold, showing your reasoning. [2]
(c) Explain one likely consequence of Meridia's persistent current account deficit for its external debt or official reserves. [2]
(d) Explain one likely consequence of Meridia's persistent current account deficit for its exchange rate. [2]
Question 8
Wexford operates a freely floating exchange rate for its currency, the wex. Wexford's central bank unexpectedly raises its main policy interest rate from 2.5% to 5.5%, while interest rates in Wexford's major trading partners remain unchanged.
(a) Explain, using demand and supply analysis of the foreign exchange market, how this rise in Wexford's interest rate relative to its trading partners is likely to affect the exchange rate of the wex. [4]
(b) State whether the wex has appreciated or depreciated as a result of this interest rate change. [1]
(c) Explain one likely consequence of this change in the exchange rate for Wexford's exporters. [3]
Question 9
A country's currency appreciates significantly against the currencies of its main trading partners. The prices of the goods and services this country buys and sells internationally, measured in the seller's own currency, remain unchanged.
Assuming buyers respond to the resulting change in prices, which of the following is the most likely direct effect of this appreciation on the country's current account balance, other things equal?
Question 10
Bregantia has a persistent current account deficit. Rather than relying on a depreciation of its currency, Bregantia's government is considering imposing tariffs on imported manufactured goods as a way of correcting the deficit.
(a) Explain how imposing tariffs on imported manufactured goods could help to correct Bregantia's current account deficit. [3]
(b) Explain one way in which using tariffs to make imports less attractive differs from relying on a depreciation of Bregantia's currency to do so. [2]
(c) Discuss the extent to which using tariffs is likely to be an effective way of correcting Bregantia's current account deficit. [4]